7. RSI: fear and euphoria

Translation under review. The illustrations are still in Portuguese.

"Buy when everyone is scared. Sell when everyone is euphoric."

Warren Buffett, as Sam remembers it
A candlestick chart that rises, drops sharply and recovers, with the RSI ("IFR") below it. At the top of the rally, the RSI goes above 70: euphoria. After the drop it reaches 30: fear. In between, neither fear nor euphoria. Beside it, a thermometer of people's mood.

A thermometer for people. The RSI (Relative Strength Index) is a drawing below the chart. Think of it as a thermometer (it's a comparison): instead of temperature, it measures the market's mood, from 0 to 100.

Below 30: lots of people sold, everyone is scared. Oversold.

Above 70: lots of people bought, everyone is excited. Overbought.

In the middle: neither fear nor euphoria.

It works on any . Fractals again.

Why this matters. If there's a drawing that shows when the market is scared and when it's euphoric, we get a clue about when the best investors in the world would be paying attention.

But it's not a button. An RSI at 25 doesn't mean "buy now". If the price is falling, it can fall more, and the RSI can stay down there for weeks.

What we need is confirmation: it fell, and now it stopped falling. Then maybe it's a good buy.

— Sam

The RSI doesn't say "buy". It says "look". After you look, you check the rest: the , the moving average, the line, the other timeframes. Level 3 shows how to put it all together.

Words in this chapter

Timeframe
The time span of each candle: 5 minutes, 1 hour, 1 day.
Trend
The main direction of the price over a period: up, down or sideways.
See the full glossary

End of chapter 7

Level 2, The chart and time.

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